Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.609435 0.694383 0.785706 0.891039 1.009034 1.136987 1.286091
2025-05-25 0.492726 0.611884 0.749989 0.921268 1.127330 1.366556 1.664585
2025-06-01 0.405395 0.545345 0.719181 0.949463 1.244797 1.608961 2.089872
2025-06-08 0.329603 0.478333 0.675515 0.953218 1.330876 1.822683 2.506993
2025-06-15 0.279993 0.435952 0.655492 0.982394 1.451009 2.091615 3.024920
2025-06-22 0.231169 0.385262 0.615017 0.975703 1.518969 2.295885 3.476774
2025-06-29 0.198354 0.352164 0.594011 0.992480 1.620138 2.554793 4.030017
2025-07-06 0.164324 0.310600 0.552929 0.971425 1.659715 2.725069 4.467829
2025-07-13 0.146857 0.293598 0.548257 1.006674 1.789616 3.042801 5.156996
2025-07-20 0.132526 0.279444 0.545831 1.044350 1.926150 3.381900 5.908217
2025-07-27 0.116848 0.259797 0.530472 1.056692 2.019814 3.658113 6.579589
2025-08-03 0.102659 0.240401 0.512448 1.061151 2.098815 3.914920 7.237943
2025-08-10 0.089725 0.221447 0.492878 1.060828 2.170308 4.167410 7.915066
2025-08-17 0.079205 0.205729 0.477364 1.066138 2.252412 4.445310 8.659509
2025-08-24 0.070766 0.193109 0.466315 1.078736 2.349320 4.757651 9.490284
2025-08-31 0.061856 0.177567 0.446554 1.070408 2.403437 4.994306 10.200147
2025-09-07 0.056408 0.169558 0.442315 1.094552 2.525368 5.368894 11.195806
2025-09-14 0.049332 0.155820 0.422680 1.081889 2.568742 5.593590 11.920929
2025-09-21 0.044734 0.147870 0.415638 1.096856 2.672292 5.945291 12.918659
2025-09-28 0.038677 0.134417 0.392815 1.071611 2.684571 6.112124 13.560228
2025-10-05 0.036227 0.131173 0.395651 1.108679 2.840343 6.587395 14.858991
2025-10-12 0.034099 0.128490 0.399563 1.148823 3.006848 7.097306 16.263040
2025-10-19 0.031101 0.122341 0.393089 1.161643 3.110253 7.479221 17.424779